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QUESTION

 Scenario Problem    

Scenario
You have been hired by your regional real estate company to determine if your region’s housing prices and housing square footage are significantly different from those of the national market. The regional sales director has three questions that they want to see addressed in the report:

Are housing prices in your regional market higher than the national market average?
Is the square footage for homes in your region different than the average square footage for homes in the national market?
For your region, what is the range of values for the 95% confidence interval of square footage for homes in your market?
You are given a real estate data set that has houses listed for every county in the United States. In addition, you have been given national statistics and graphs that show the national averages for housing prices and square footage. Your job is to analyze the data, complete the statistical analyses, and provide a report to the regional sales director. You will do so by completing the Project Two Template located in the What to Submit area below.

Directions
Introduction

Purpose: What was the purpose of your analysis, and what is your approach?
Define a random sample and two hypotheses (means) to analyze.
Sample: Define your sample. Take a random sample of 100 observations for your region.
Describe what is included in your sample (i.e., states, region, years or months).
Questions and type of test: For your selected sample, define two hypothesis questions and the appropriate type of test hypothesis for each. Address the following for each hypothesis:
Describe the population parameter for the variable you are analyzing.
Describe your hypothesis in your own words.
Describe the inference test you will use.
Identify the test statistic.
Level of confidence: Discuss how you will use estimation and conference intervals to help you solve the problem.
1-Tailed Test

Hypothesis: Define your hypothesis.
Define the population parameter.
Write null (Ho) and alternative (Ha) hypotheses.
Specify your significance level.
Data analysis: Analyze the data and confirm assumptions have not been violated to complete this hypothesis test.
Summarize your sample data using appropriate graphical displays and summary statistics.
Provide at least one histogram of your sample data.
In a table, provide summary statistics including sample size, mean, median, and standard deviation.
Summarize your sample data, describing the center, spread, and shape in comparison to the national information.
Check the conditions.
Determine if the normal condition has been met.
Determine if there are any other conditions that you should check and whether they have been met.
Hypothesis test calculations: Complete hypothesis test calculations, providing the appropriate statistics and graphs.
Calculate the hypothesis statistics.
Determine the appropriate test statistic (t).
Calculate the probability (p value).
Interpretation: Interpret your hypothesis test results using the p value method to reject or not reject the null hypothesis.
Relate the p value and significance level.
Make the correct decision (reject or fail to reject).
Provide a conclusion in the context of your hypothesis.
2-Tailed Test

Hypotheses: Define your hypothesis.
Define the population parameter.
Write null and alternative hypotheses.
State your significance level.
Data analysis: Analyze the data and confirm assumptions have not been violated to complete this hypothesis test.
Summarize your sample data using appropriate graphical displays and summary statistics.
Provide at least one histogram of your sample data.
In a table, provide summary statistics including sample size, mean, median, and standard deviation.
Summarize your sample data, describing the center, spread, and shape in comparison to the national information.
Check the assumptions.
Determine if the normal condition has been met.
Determine if there are any other conditions that should be checked on and whether they have been met.
Hypothesis test calculations: Complete hypothesis test calculations, providing the appropriate statistics and graphs.
Calculate the hypothesis statistics.
Determine the appropriate test statistic (t).
Determine the probability (p value).
Interpretation: Interpret your hypothesis test results using the p value method to reject or not reject the null hypothesis.
Relate the p value and significance level.
Make the correct decision (reject or fail to reject).
Provide a conclusion in the context of your hypothesis.
Comparison of the test results: See Question 3 from the Scenario section.
Calculate a 95% confidence interval. Show or describe your method of calculation.
Interpret a 95% confidence interval.
Final Conclusions

Summarize your findings: Refer back to the Introduction section above and summarize your findings of the sample you selected.
Discuss: Discuss whether you were surprised by the findings. Why or why not?
What to Submit
To complete this project, you must submit the following:

Project Two Template: Use this template to structure your report, and submit the finished version as a Word document.

Supporting Materials
The following resources may help support your work on the project:

Data Set: House Listing Price by Region
Use this data for input in your project report.

Document: National Statistics and Graphs
Use this data for input in your project report.

 

 

 

 

Subject Business Pages 7 Style APA

Answer

Regional vs. National Housing Price Comparison Report

Introduction

Purpose

To determine if my region’s housing prices and housing square footage are significantly different from those of the national market. The sample will be from at least one state in the pacific region. The hypothesis to determine is if the prices in the Pacific region market are higher than the national market average and if the square footage for home in the pacific region different from the average square footage for the homes in the national market. The average listing prices for national market is 288407 and the average for square footage for homes in the national market is 142.

Sample

The sample will comprise of 100 observations from at least one state in the Pacific region. The data will be of house listing prices and cost per square foot.

Questions and Type of Test

The first hypothesis is to determine if the house listing prices in the Pacific region is higher than those of the national markets. This hypothesis is directional hence it is a 1-tail test. We will use a t-test in analysis at a confidence interval of 95%.

H0: µ >288407

HA: µ ≤ 288407

The first hypothesis is to determine if the square footage for homes in the Pacific region are different than those of the national markets. This hypothesis is non-directional hence it is a 2-tail test. We will use a t-test in analysis at a confidence interval of 95%.

H0: µ = 142

HA: µ ≠ 142

1-Tail Test

Hypothesis

The population parameter comprises the entire home sales from the Pacific region.

H0: µ > 288407

HA: µ ≤ 288407

The significance level (α) is set at 0.05

Data analysis

 

House listing price

Mean

485924.7064

Standard Error

24610.81628

Median

417550

Standard Deviation

246108.1628

Count

100

 

=QUARTILE ([data range], [quartile number])

Q1 = 303612.5

Q3 = 585781.1

From the descriptive table above, the sample mean is 485924.7064, the median of the data is 417550, and the standard deviation is 246108.1628. From the graph it is evident that the shape is skewed to the right.

The assumptions for a t-test include the data follows a continuous scale, the data was randomly collected and is a representation of the population, from the histogram the data results in a normal distribution, the sample size is large, and there is homogeneity of variance. The data provided meets all the assumptions.

Hypothesis Test Calculations:

t = (mean – target)/standard error.

The mean is your regional mean(Pacific), and the target is the national mean.

t = (485924.7064 – 288407) / 24610.81628

t = 8.026

Calculate the probability (p value)

=T.DIST.RT([test statistic], [degree of freedom]).

The degree of freedom is calculated by subtracting 1 from your sample size = (100 – 1).

= T.DIST.RT([8.026], [99]).

= 1.056E-12

Interpretation

The p-value (1.056E-12) is less than the significance level (0.05).

Since 1.056E-12 < 0.05: reject the null hypothesis (H0)

After rejecting the null hypothesis, we conclude that the average of the house listing prices in the Pacific region is not higher than those of the national markets.

2-Tail Test

Hypotheses:

The population parameter comprises the entire home sales from the Pacific region.

H0: µ = 142

HA: µ ≠ 142

The significance level (α) is set at 0.05

Data Analysis:

 

Cost per square foot

Mean

279.3433

Standard Error

16.0487

Median

211.9862

Standard Deviation

160.487

Count

100

 

=QUARTILE([data range], [quartile number]) ]

Q1 = 167.3693

Q3 = 347. 4761

From the descriptive analysis, the sample mean is 279.3433, the median is 211.9862, and the standard deviation is 160.486. From the graph it is evident that the data is distributed normal and has a bell shape. The data is skewed to the right.

The assumptions for a t-test include the data follows a continuous scale, the data was randomly collected and is a representation of the population, from the histogram the data results in a normal distribution, the sample size is large, and there is homogeneity of variance. The data provided meets all the assumptions.

Hypothesis Test Calculations:

Determining the test statistic (t).

t = (mean – target)/standard error.

In this case, the mean is the Pacific mean (279.343), and the target is the national mean (142)

t = (279.343 – 142) / 16.05

t = 8.557

Calculating the probability (p value).

=T.DIST.RT([test statistic], [degree of freedom]).

The degree of freedom is calculated by subtracting 1 from your sample size = (100 – 1)

= T.DIST.2T([8.557], [99]).

P–value = 1.516E-13

Interpretation

The p-value (1.516E-13) is less that the significance level (0.05)

Since the 1.516E-13< 0.05: reject the null hypothesis (H0)

After rejecting the null hypothesis, we conclude that the average of the square footage for homes in the Pacific region are different than those of the national markets

Comparison of the Test Results:

Confidence interval for Pacific region house listing prices

Confidence Interval = sample mean ± margin of error

Margin of error = (z-score * (population standard deviation / square root of sample size))

Z-score at 95% = 1.96

= 1.96 * (163.986 / 10)

= 32.141

CI = 485924.7064 ± 32.141

= (485892.6, 485956.8)

I am 95 % confident that the true mean of the Pacific house listing prices is between 485892.6 dollars and 485956.8 dollars.

Confidence interval for Pacific cost per square foot houses

Margin of error = 1.96 * (92/10)

= 18.032

CI = 279.3433 ± 18.032

= (261.3113, 297.3753)

I am 95 % confident that the true mean of the Pacific cost per square foot of houses is between 261.3113 dollars and 297.3753 dollars.

Final Conclusions

From the sample collected we are able to determine that the houses listing prices in the Pacific is not more than the house listing prices for the nation market.

We have also determined that the cost per square foot of houses in the Pacific region are different from the cost per square foot of national markets.

We have determined the range of values for two samples.

From these statements, we have successfully answered the regional sales director questions.

I was not surprised by the findings because we were using a sample to infer to the population.

 

References

Related Samples

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